~marginalrevolution | Bookmarks (552)
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Broad tariffs can be worse than targeted tariffs
From a new and excellent post by the essential Noah Smith: There are actually two reasons...
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How badly do humans misjudge AIs?
We study how humans form expectations about the performance of artificial intelligence (AI) and consequences for...
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*Science of Science*
By Alexander Kraus, economist at LSE, the Oxford University Press book is now open access on-line. ...
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Sunday assorted links
1. Jay Bhattacharya to run the NIH? 2. LDS missionary defeats local Salvadorans in pupusa-eating contest....
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AI-generated poetry is indistinguishable from human-written poetry and is rated more favorably
That is the title of a new paper in Nature, here is part of the abstract:...
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How to make DOGE work
That is the topic of my latest Bloomberg column, here is one excerpt: Another priority should...
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Further Saturday assorted links
1. “Using the full text of the Federal Register, the official publication of the US government, we...
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Saturday assorted links
1. Criminals are targeting luxury cheeses. 2. twodw: “Harris lost all seven swing states, but in...
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USA fact of the day
The total payroll of the federal government is about $110 billion a year https://buff.ly/3CnrMCx Federal government...
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The new Roger Penrose biography
The author is Patchen Barss, and the title is The Impossible Man: Roger Penrose and the...
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Friday assorted links
1. Michael Magoon has “progress” recommendations for the second Trump administration. 2. Update on LLMs and...
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Will Trump Appoint a Great FDA Commissioner?
A German newspaper asked for my take on the nomination of RFK Jr. to head HHS....
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*Kaput: The End of the German Miracle*
By Wolfgang Münchau, this book is the best and most detailed account of the German economic...
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Let’s reform taxation for expats
That is the topic of my latest Bloomberg column. We should tax on the basis of...
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*Bubbles and the End of Stagnation*
By Byrne Hobart and Tobias Huber, a new Stripe Press book. The post *Bubbles and the...
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Thursday assorted links
1. Dwarkesh podcast with Gwern, self-recommending. 2. Gila monster venom (NYT). 3. ChatGPT says “okie-dokie.” 4....
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Austrian economics and AI scaling
As many of you know, I grew up reading (on knowledge) Hayek, Michael Polanyi, Ludwig Lachmann,...
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My Conversation with the excellent Neal Stephenson
Here is the audio, video, and transcript. Here is part of the episode summary: In Neal’s...
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Wednesday assorted links
1. The Indonesian energy trajectory. A new Substack. 2. Emily Oster on fluoride, vaccines, and raw...
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Does declining fertility lower the gender pay gap?
Using a descriptive decomposition and data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, we show that,...
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Signaling Quality in Crowdfunding Projects with Refund Bonuses
My latest paper, Signaling Quality: How Refund Bonuses Can Overcome Information Asymmetries in Crowdfunding (with the...
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J. Zachary Mazlish on median wages under Biden
An excellent post, one of the best things written this year in economics. Here is part...
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Big business is better than you think (rooftops)
We characterize optimal product market policy in an unequal economy in which firm ownership is concentrated...
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*Blitz* (no spoilers)
This is the Steve McQueen movie about the Nazi blitz against London. I found it visually...