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The US, China and Japan are working on research and development in gallium oxide crystal growth and productionizing gallium oxide chips. The Gallium oxide chips can have a voltage resistance value 3 times higher and power consumption reduced by 60%. The power semiconductor market, sometimes called power electronics, is a large and important business that ... Read more

xAI Grok 3 release with live demo on Monday night at 8pm PT. Elon has said xAI Grok 3 will lead on all of the AI metrics when it is released. Grok 3 has been trained on over 100,000 Nvidia H100 chips. Grok 4 will be released later this year. The rapid pace of xAI ... Read more

China’s DeepSeek has made innovations in the cost of AI and innovations like mixture of experts (MoE) and fine-grain expert segmentation which significantly improve efficiency in large language models. The DeepSeek model activates only about 37 billion parameters out of its total 600+ billion parameters during inference, compared to models like Llama that activate all ... Read more

There is massive cost cutting with DOGE. 200,000 jobs eliminated by firing all probationary employees. 77,000 taking the 8 month offer to quit. Soon $100 billion in savings out of $500 billion in known waste. Proposal to halve the US, Russian and China military budgets would save $440 billion for the USA. USA would still ... Read more

In 2023, the Climate Policy Initiative’s Global Landscape of Climate Finance 2023 report, annual climate finance flows surpassed USD 1 trillion for the first time in 2021, reaching almost USD 1.3 trillion in 2021/2022. This represents a doubling compared to 2019/2020 levels. Paris Accords came into effect in 2016. U.S. CO2 emissions fell 14% between ... Read more

President Trump is proposing cutting the military budgets of the USA, China and Russia in half. Cutting the military in half for USA, Russia and China is also doable and makes sense. China and Russia have rapidly shrinking populations. Maintaining 2 million people in the military will not be an option soon. Russia lost 800,000 ... Read more

In 2025, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg has become the second richest in the world. Jeff Bezos has rarely not been richest or second richest in the world for the past 8 years. Meta announced its move into AI-powered humanoid robots. There is excitement around AI and robotics for Meta. Meta’s stock has been on a ... Read more

As I have posted, I am a top 8 predictor on Metaculus out of 34617 people according to Metaculus for baseline accuracy. I was asked by a commenter what my public prediction is for will humans land on Mars by 2030? Yes, I believe humans will land on Mars by 2030. I am superconfident SpaceX ... Read more

Aubrey de Grey had a large mouse study of combinations of antiaging treatments. They did show that combination treatments did have additive benefits. Combination treatments worked together to improve the lengthening of lifespans. Rapamycin is the strongest main confirmed antiaging treatment. His group is setting up a second experiment with new combination treatments but will ... Read more

The Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Harry S. Truman (CVN 75) collided with the bulk carrier Besiktas-M off the coast of Egypt yesterday. The Pentagon reports that the collision did not endanger the Harry S. Truman. There have been previous rare collisions with a Navy ship and another ship. It was the result of gross incompetence ... Read more

Elon announced a deal for a Boring Company Dubai Loop at the end of video presentation interview. I think it has something to do with countries wanting to get on Elon’s good side. Las Vegas is building out a 68 mile Boring company system with 104 stations connecting everything along the Vegas strip to the ... Read more

SpaceX Starship had by far the longest static fire ever of about 1 minute. SpaceX upgraded the flame trench and other systems. This enables longer static fires. They can now test more conditions and stress systems in different ways. The extended firing tested new hardware and cycled the six Raptor engines through multiple thrust levels ... Read more

UBER only made $2.8 billion in operating profit in 2024. They had some tax revaluation net income but those were one off financial effects. The $2.8 billion was less than 1.5% of gross revenue and 7% of UBER share of revenue. This means that UBER is far more vulnerable to any price competition. Tesla robotaxi ... Read more

The ULA (United Launch Alliance) rocket is not fully authorized for the US Space Force. The first Vulcan launch by about four years before ULA successfully completed the rocket’s first demonstration flight in January 2024. ULA expected to be ready to launch the first military mission on the Vulcan rocket in mid-2024, plus two more ... Read more

I have made several thousand public predictions at Metaculus. I , Brian Wang, ranked 8th in Baseline Accuracy out of 34617 forecasters. This is a 99.98 percentile ranking. Apparently, some people do not understand a description converted into a mathematical term. Percentile is a mathematical term that is not saying there was X% correct. I ... Read more

Tesla in 2019 and 2020 had a runup from less than $15 per share in 2019 to over $60 by February 21 2020 and then it dropped in half to less than $28. Tesla was in the process of getting Tesla Model Y up to mass production and then get Tesla Shanghai into ramped production. ... Read more

Federal Government employment records are all in paper records stored in a former limestone mine that looks like the warehouse at the end of Raiders of the Lost Ark. The Limestone mine vital records storage was built in the 1950s and the manual procedures have not been updated for about 70 years. The Iron Mountain’s ... Read more

At an announcement for a new federal agency tasked with declassifying information for the American public on multiple assassinations and also unidentified flying objects, Florida Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, heads the New Declassification Task Force, says that her review of the new material supports two shooters in the JFK assassination in Dallas in 1963. We ... Read more

Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) V14 will use auto-regressive transformers. This technology will help FSD predict the plans and paths of the surrounding environment, allowing it to more accurately anticipate the actions of other vehicles, pedestrians, etc., and make human-like decisions. FSD V14 will also increase the model size and context size, and will enable more ... Read more

The $97.4 billion bid by Elon Musk and his consortium to acquire OpenAI is likely a move to delay and complicate OpenAI’s growth and conversion to for profit. Sam and his board won’t take the offer but they will have to explain why in court. Other owners in the nonprofit will want a piece of ... Read more

All 1500+ new Tesla cars drive from the Fremony factory to the loading docks every day. This is about 2000 miles per day of driving without a human driver. They could also drive from truck offloads to shipping lots in Austin, Shanghai, Berlin. It will move up from 2000 miles per day to 6000-20000 miles ... Read more

SpaceX performed a static fire of Booster 15 for the eighth flight of Starship. SpaceX has applied for a communications license from the FCC for Starship Flight 8 with a start date of February 24, 2025. Starship Flight 8 is expected to launch no earlier than February 24, 2025. However, the exact launch date could ... Read more